Probabilidad implícita actual
No 79%+3.5pt
Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
211,3 €
Liquidez
8,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
18.0% / 24.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-5.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
5 mar 26, 22:05 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will France announce a snap election?
KalshiWill Turkey announce a snap election in 2026?
KalshiFrench election called by which date?
PolymarketUkraine election called by which date?
PolymarketWill a new legislative election be called in France in 2026?
FutuurReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Spain snap election called in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Spain snap election called in 2026??
- Está previsto que Spain snap election called in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Spain snap election called in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Spain snap election called in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.