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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. When will France announce a snap election?
When will France announce a snap election?

When will France announce a snap election?

One-OffPolíticaElecciónChessDeportes6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 23%
Calidad del mercado

24 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0 €

Liquidez

21,1 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

18.0% / 26.0%

Spread

44.4%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 minutos

12 sept 25, 14:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes23%

Reglas

If France officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
  • The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
  • The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
  • Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
  • Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.

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Reglas

If France officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
  • The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
  • The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
  • Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
  • Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.