PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: No
Resuelto: 2 nov 2026, 7:12
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
No
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
37%
SorpresaAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 2 nov 2026, 12:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No94%
NoGanada
SíPerdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
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Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win any of these ‘solid Republican’ house races?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the ideological caucus membership in the Republican House Caucus following the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsHow many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com is equal to or below 6% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- An hour in which the Republican Party's hourly odds value is above 6% ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
- Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for the Republican Party (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values.
