Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 51.6%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
7 sept 26, 4:41 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
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KalshiReglas
These are races rated solid Republican by cook in August.
- Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.
- Will democrats win at least one?
- The district name and number is what is used, the names are simply a guide for the incumbents name.
- Any house district that is changed by redisticting changes won’t be included.
- E.g I have removed Missouri 5 from the list as it has become a safe Dem seat if the redistricting is officially over turned.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 291,3 mil €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Democrats win any of these ‘solid Republican’ house races??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 52% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Democrats win any of these ‘solid Republican’ house races??
- Está previsto que Will Democrats win any of these ‘solid Republican’ house races? se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Democrats win any of these ‘solid Republican’ house races??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: These are races rated solid Republican by cook in August.