PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democratic Party 63%+12.0%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
100 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
4,6 mil €
Liquidez
34,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
35.0% / 36.0%
Spread
2.9%
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-7.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 minutos
16 dic 25, 18:134 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democratic Party63%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic Party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 63% | — | 4,6 mil € | 34,6 mil € | hace 22 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 54% | — | 491,7 € | 8,2 mil € | hace 22 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
NC-11 House winner?
3.0%1a
+1.0%54%
-3.0%46%
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total16,5 mil €
Volumen 24h491,7 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$5.2k12 jul9d de datos22 jul
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.