PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
450K-500K 44.2%-0.8ptLíder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
52,3 €
Liquidez
16,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
18 ago 26, 14:12 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Montana Senate Election Winner
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 Montana Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Montana senate election?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race?
Manifold MarketsMontana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketMontana Senate winner?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Montana Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket cotiza 450K-500K al 44% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Montana Senate Election: Turnout?
- Está previsto que Montana Senate Election: Turnout se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Montana Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.