PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualSí 6%
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
479,8 €
Liquidez
25,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
5.0% / 6.5%
Spread
30.0%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-0.8%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
5 nov 25, 18:0931 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes6%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por volumen de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMás activa | 94% | — | 479,8 € | 25,7 mil € | hace 2 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets | 94% | — | — | — | hace 10 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? [Polymarket]
5m
6%
94%
Pronóstico comunitario5 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total603,5 €
Volumen 24h68,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$5472 jul7d de datos8 jul
Mercados Relacionados
President of Venezuela at the end of 2026
123,6 €Nicolás Maduro: 0.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?
0 €December 31: 36%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
158 €Sí: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
0 €Sí: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Rubio visit Cuba in 2026?
0 €Sí: 30%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTIT
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
0 €Delcy Rodríguez: 94%
KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Adorni quits in Milei graft storm as Polymarket boosts Eizenkot to 41.6%Blockchain.News
US strikes Iran as Polymarket odds peg Starmer exit before 2027 at 90.5%Blockchain.News
Katz warns force vs Iran as Polymarket puts Dec 2026 US-Iran deal at 43.5%Blockchain.News
Reports of US strikes in Iran push Polymarket regime-fall odds to 0.15%Blockchain.NewsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.