Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 93%
Pronosticadores
107
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado31 ago 23, 8:39 UTC31 oct 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsJavier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina?
FutuurWill South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
KalshiTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurReglas
According to their constitution, the Rresident of Argentina serves for four years, with a possibility of immediate reelection for one more term.
- This market will resolve YES, if the next elected president of Argentina (elections on October 22, 2023) serves full term and his presidency ends with normally scheduled elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve NO.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina??
- Está previsto que Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina? se resuelva el 31 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: According to their constitution, the Rresident of Argentina serves for four years, with a possibility of immediate reelection for one more term.