PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
4.6M-4.8M 31.7%-8.8ptLíder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
69 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
481,9 €
Liquidez
68,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.5 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+4.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
18 ago 26, 14:13 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Michigan Senate Election Winner
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PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is the Democratic Nominee for Michigan Senate, will they win?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 193,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 710,8 mil €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volumen total
- 29,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 407,5 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 14,9 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Michigan Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket cotiza 4.6M-4.8M al 32% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Michigan Senate Election: Turnout?
- Está previsto que Michigan Senate Election: Turnout se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Michigan Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.