Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by which date?
50.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElecciónAmérica Latina10d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
October 15 3%-50.0pt
October 15 3%-50.0ptCalidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
8,5 mil €
Liquidez
15,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
2.3% / 3.8%
Spread
1.5 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-32.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
24 sept 26, 19:43 UTC16 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
September 30Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on?
PolymarketBy the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
Manifold MarketsWill Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Flavio Bolsonaro's Polymarket odds to win Brazil's election be above 65% at 8:00 am ET, October 5?
Manifold MarketsFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
PolymarketArrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
FutuurReglas
Each market in this event will resolve to "Yes" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's hourly odds value is higher than Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds value in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and 12:00 AM ET on the day after that market's listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
- Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values.
