PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Ralph Alvarado (R) 74%
Calidad del mercado
71 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
164,7 €
Liquidez
36,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
28 ene 26, 21:38 UTC4 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercados abiertos
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 resultados más
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KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
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- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 resultados más
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- Volumen 24h
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9%
- Volumen total
- 29,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 425,6 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.2%
- D-House, R-Senate30.6%
- Republicans sweep-0.4pt9.2%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 14,8 M €
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
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- September 30,-0.1pt6%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de KY-06 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket cotiza Ralph Alvarado (R) al 74% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve KY-06 House Election Winner?
- Está previsto que KY-06 House Election Winner se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida KY-06 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.