PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual4.3% 40%Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
39,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
0.4% / 5.3%
Spread
1225.0%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-0.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 minutos
2 jul 26, 22:447 ago 26, 8:30
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
4.3%40%
Comparar plataformas· 4.3%
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h
También disponible en Kalshi
Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?
2.0%12d
-2.0%38%
-2.0%29%
14%
+20 resultados más
60 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total35,2 mil €
Volumen 24h142,4 €
KALSHI
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Will the July 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?
12d
93.1%
6.9%
Pronóstico comunitario8 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for July 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$335 jul21d de datos25 jul
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Noticias Relacionadas
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for July 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.