PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Probabilidad implícita actualJuly 15 100%+78.5%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
22,7 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado7 jul 26, 23:1531 jul 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
August 31100%
July 15100%
July 12100%
July 31100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Operaciones grandes
$1.2k81.5%Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? — Yesbalthazarayer
$1.8k83.3%Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? — YesLabubuBot9000ayer
Tendencia de volumen
$25.8k8 jul5d de datos12 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST (UTC +3:30).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market.
- Attacks by proxy forces (i.e.
- Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.