PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualDecember 31 37%+4.0%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
47,8 mil €
Liquidez
110,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
5.2% / 5.9%
Spread
13.5%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
22 jun 26, 19:4031 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
December 3137%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the imposition of a naval blockade on Iran, or on ships traveling to or from Iranian ports, or on ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The announcement need not specify the full scope, duration, or enforcement parameters of the blockade.
- An announcement of a partial or targeted blockade qualifies, including one limited to specific vessel categories, port areas, or Iranian coastal zones, provided it clearly announces the interdiction of Iranian maritime traffic as an unconditional policy.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present implementation of a blockade, previously-unannounced prior implementation of a blockade, or definitive decision to implement a blockade.
- A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify a blockade.