How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
3.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.Elección
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
10-12 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
Libro recibido (no hora de cotización del mercado): —
Referencia guardada
10-12 93.9%Líder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
10-12 93.9%Calidad del mercado
69 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
644,9 €
Liquidez
21 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
— / —
10-12Spread
—
Comentarios
9
Cambio 7d
+14.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
4-6Perdida
7-9Perdida
<3Perdida
>15Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Profundidad de mercado · 10-12
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
Libro recibido (no hora de cotización del mercado): —
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
PolymarketDemocratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)
Manifold MarketsDemocratic House Speaker before 30 November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Roy Cooper win any congressional district a Democratic House candidate loses?
Manifold MarketsHow many New York Democratic House Candidates will underperform Harris’s 2024 Vote Percent?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiReglas
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September.
- This market will resolve according to the number of Democratic House incumbents who do not win their nominating election to move on to the general election as a result of the 2026 midterm primary elections.
- An incumbent will be considered not to have won their election if they are not declared the winner of the election they sought, including if they withdraw, suspend, or otherwise leave the race at any point after officially registering as a candidate, regardless of the reason.
- Incumbents who do not officially register as candidates for reelection will not be considered.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all House nominating elections, including party primaries, top-two or jungle primaries, and primaries for special elections, that are scheduled to occur between March 1 and September 30, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election or a subsequent qualifying round in a non-partisan primary system could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that contest is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.