Probabilidad implícita actual
Gabriel Attal 100%+8.5ptLíder entre 21 opciones
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
979,2 €
Liquidez
99,9 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
15.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
22
Cambio 7d
+1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
22 abr 26, 22:25 UTC23 abr 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next French Presidential Election
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
- Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
