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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Central Banks
  3. ECB Interest Rates: July 2026
ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

14.5% (24h)One-OffCentral Banks1m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
No change
No change 74%-16.5%
Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado

73 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

6,4 mil €

Liquidez

48,9 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

19.0% / 24.0%

Spread

26.3%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

+2.5%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 9 minutos

30 abr 26, 18:3223 jul 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
50+ bps increase
50+ bps increase
0%
25 bps decrease
25 bps decrease
0%

Resultado elegido

No change74%

Reglas

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,821.21+2.42%EthereumETH$1,659.83+1.91%SolanaSOL$65.26+1.89%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.66%XRPXRP$1.12+0.58%BNBBNB$596.66+1.85%

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Reglas

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).