PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 87%+3.0ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
11,6 mil €
Liquidez
32,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
4 sept 26, 14:5831 dic 27, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Claude" and be designated as version 6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- Any of Anthropic's general-purpose model families qualifies, including Fable, Opus, Sonnet, Haiku, or a successor general-purpose family, provided the version designation of 6 or higher appears in the name or model identifier.
- For example, Claude Fable 6, Claude Opus 6, Claude Sonnet 6, or a later version such as Claude Fable 6.1 or Claude 7 would qualify, while models that retain a version designation below 6, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Opus 5, and models that do not carry an explicit version number of 6 or higher in their name or identifier, regardless of how they are described or positioned, will not qualify.
- A Mythos-branded release available only through Anthropic's verification or trusted-access programs, and task-specific products or restricted lines such as Claude Code, Claude Gov, or Claude Security, will not qualify on their own.
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.3pt55.9%
- ChatGPT+0.6pt25.5%
- Grok+2.5pt8.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 61 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-5.5pt67%
- 1490+-9.5pt54%
- 1500+-15.0pt31%
+2 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude77.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt14.3%
- Gemini2.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 292,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 44,2 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,91%
- December 15,85%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- No-14.0pt72%
- Yes+14.0pt28%
- Volumen total
- 172,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 36,9 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027-3.0pt95%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt95%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Claude 6 released by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December al 87% a fecha de 7 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Claude 6 released by which date??
- Está previsto que Claude 6 released by which date? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Claude 6 released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 6 model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).