PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 85%
Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
276,6 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
10.0% / 20.0%
Spread
10.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
4
Cambio 7d
+4.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
1 jun 26, 17:14 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
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KalshiWhen will Blue Origin launch New Shepard
KalshiReglas
If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- New Glenn rocket refers to any Blue Origin rocket publicly identified by Blue Origin as New Glenn, including any newly manufactured, rebuilt, replacement, or reused New Glenn vehicle.
- The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome.
- Any name change or rebranding of New Glenn will have no bearing on this market’s resolution.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026??
- Está previsto que Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If any Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.