Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 86%
Pronosticadores
82
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado24 nov 23, 0:08 UTC28 dic 27, 12:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Based on this article:
- https://www.theregister.com/AMP/2023/11/23/blue_origin_glenn_rocket_mars/
- For this market I’m defining “Reaching Mars” as being captured into an orbit around Mars.
- The orbit has to be stable
- OR if it’s unstable it has to be descending towards the Martian surface
- If it’s unstable and gets slingshot out into interplanetary space then it will not count.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 944,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 721,8 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
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- Volumen 24h
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- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
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- 514,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 496,9 mil €
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- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)?
- Está previsto que Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX) se resuelva el 28 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Based on this article: