Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
TecnologíaOne-OffSpace3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado12 feb 25, 23:33 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Background Blue Origin plans to land its Blue Moon MK1 cargo lander on the moon in 2025, with a timeline of 12-16 months from early 2024.
- The mission will use Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket.
- The Blue Moon MK1 is designed to deliver up to 3 metric tons of cargo.
- SpaceX is scheduled to conduct an uncrewed Starship demo landing on the moon in 2025 as part of NASA's timeline.
- SpaceX's mission is more complex, requiring multiple tanker refuelings in orbit for its Starship HLS.
- Resolution Criteria This market resolves YES if Blue Origin successfully lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the lunar surface before SpaceX successfully lands an uncrewed Starship on the lunar surface.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 77% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship??
- Está previsto que Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Background Blue Origin plans to land its Blue Moon MK1 cargo lander on the moon in 2025, with a timeline of 12-16 months from early 2024.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.