PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 89.1%
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
284 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
8.0% / 13.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
1 jun 26, 13:12 UTC31 oct 26, 21:34 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET .
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercados abiertos
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- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
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+18 resultados más
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- Volumen 24h
- 103,1 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
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- 57,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 57,4 mil €
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- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
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- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
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- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,9 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31??
- Está previsto que Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31? se resuelva el 31 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET .