PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No change 96%-0.3ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
155,3 €
Liquidez
11 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.7 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
24 jun 26, 0:30 UTC24 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para No change es del 97%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 2 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas. Las plataformas no coinciden en qué resultado va por delante.
Referencia CoinRithm No change 97% · 2 plataformas · 2 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Futuur — Bank of Mexico interest rate decision — September 2026 · No change 92%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Bank of Mexico rate decision in September · Maintain current rate 85%