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Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

0.4% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffGeopolítica Russia / Ukraine5d

MyriadDatos verificados limitados

Probabilidad implícita actual

Sí 4.7%-0.1%

Calidad del mercado

32 / 100

Baja calidad

Volumen 24h

183,2 €

Liquidez

1,3 mil €

Baja liquidez

Compra / Venta

-

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 21 minutos

17 dic 25, 15:0731 jul 26, 23:59

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

YES5%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

**Market Dates:**

- **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
**Yes/No Criteria:**
- Resolves to **"Yes"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time.
The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions).
Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea). - Resolves to **"No"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends

Operaciones grandes

$1.1k95.3%

MYRIADNO0xdAd9…Ae6Bhace 15 d

Tendencia de volumen

$208

8 jul19d de datos26 jul

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Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

Russia/Ukraine ceasefire before August?

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Reglas

**Market Dates:**

- **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
**Yes/No Criteria:**
- Resolves to **"Yes"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time.
The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions).
Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea). - Resolves to **"No"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends