¿Descubriremos antes de 2027 que el derrocamiento de Maduro fue un golpe interno con asistencia de EE. UU.?
Política de EE. UU.One-OffGeopolíticaAmérica Latina2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 84.8%
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado4 ene 26, 11:56 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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PredictItReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible evidence emerges by December 31, 2026 that Maduro's removal from power on January 3, 2026 was orchestrated as an internal coup with direct US military assistance, rather than a unilateral US military operation.
- Resolution requires documented evidence that Venezuelan military or government officials coordinated with the US to remove Maduro, or that the operation was planned and executed jointly with internal Venezuelan actors.
- Resolution sources may include: declassified government documents, congressional testimony, investigative journalism from major outlets, memoirs or statements from key Venezuelan or US officials, or court filings.
- The market creator will determine resolution based on the preponderance of available evidence.
- The question hinges on distinguishing between a unilateral US military operation and a coordinated internal coup.
