Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 90.1%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado4 may 26, 20:35 UTC31 may 28, 23:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill the OMIE Spain annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 60 EUR per MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill the MISO Indiana annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 52 USD per MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill the WA SWIS annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 90 AUD per MWh?
Manifold MarketsChicken wing · Average US wholesale price in October
KalshiWill the annual average strength of the AMOC fall below 8 Sverdrups for any calendar year through 2030?
ForecastExReglas
Resolves YES if the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM) Victoria region time-weighted annual average wholesale spot price for calendar year 2027 exceeds A$105/MWh, as reported by AEMO in its Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q4 2027 release and the 2027 calendar-year summary on the AEMO data dashboard.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2028 — about five months after year-end, allowing AEMO time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
