Will the OMIE Spain annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 60 EUR per MWh?
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Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 55.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado4 may 26, 20:35 UTC31 may 28, 23:00 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if the OMIE (Iberian wholesale market) Spain day-ahead time-weighted annual average for calendar year 2027 exceeds €60/MWh, as reported by OMIE in its annual market summary and on the OMIE day-ahead price dashboard.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2028 — about five months after year-end, allowing OMIE and Red Eléctrica time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
