Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 67.7%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado5 ene 26, 16:44 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the USA controls Venezuela by December 31, 2026. "Control" is defined as the Trump administration's stated objective of running the country until a political transition occurs.
- Resolution will be determined by whether the US maintains effective administrative and military control over Venezuelan territory and governance, as evidenced by:
- Continued US military presence and operational authority in Venezuela
- US direction of Venezuelan government functions and policy
- US control over Venezuelan oil infrastructure and resource extraction
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end??
- Está previsto que Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria