Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
PolíticaOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 96.7%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado27 abr 26, 20:31 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Update on the Alex Bores campaign is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercados abiertos
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- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volumen total
- 25,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 812,4 mil €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 564 mil €
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- D-House, D-Senate+1.0pt46.6%
- D-House, R-Senate35.9%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.5%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Helena Foulkes-1.4pt98%
- Dan McKee+1.3pt2%
- Gregory Stevens-0.1pt0%
- Volumen total
- 734,4 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva52%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.3pt45.1%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt74%
- New People (NL)+0.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Está previsto que Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.