Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

Política Tecnología Geopolítica2a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Trump wins, Ukraine does not acquire nuclear weapons. 89.5%

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Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

0.0 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 10 horas

Desactualizado

22 oct 24, 21:01 UTC1 ene 29, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Mercados Relacionados

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Reglas

Ukraine inherited substantial nuclear expertise and infrastructure from the Soviet era, including nuclear reactors and scientific knowledge.

Ukraine renounced nuclear weapons in 1994 under the Budapest Memorandum and dismantled its arsenal, but it retains civilian nuclear power capabilities and access to technical expertise.
If credible evidence emerges after the election that Ukraine possesses nuclear weapons, this market will resolve accordingly.
It will be resolved as N/A if the election remains undecided.

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Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

Política Tecnología Geopolítica2a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Trump wins, Ukraine does not acquire nuclear weapons. 89.5%

Líder entre 4 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

0.0 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 10 horas

Desactualizado

22 oct 24, 21:01 UTC1 ene 29, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Mercados Relacionados

Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.

Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Manifold Markets

Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Manifold Markets

Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028?

Manifold Markets

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by which date?

Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by which date?

Polymarket

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Kalshi

Reglas

Ukraine inherited substantial nuclear expertise and infrastructure from the Soviet era, including nuclear reactors and scientific knowledge.

Ukraine renounced nuclear weapons in 1994 under the Budapest Memorandum and dismantled its arsenal, but it retains civilian nuclear power capabilities and access to technical expertise.
If credible evidence emerges after the election that Ukraine possesses nuclear weapons, this market will resolve accordingly.
It will be resolved as N/A if the election remains undecided.

Reportar un problema de datos de este mercado

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election??: Manifold Markets cotiza Trump wins, Ukraine does not acquire nuclear weapons. al 90% a fecha de 18 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election??: Está previsto que Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
¿Cómo se liquida Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election??: Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Ukraine inherited substantial nuclear expertise and infrastructure from the Soviet era, including nuclear reactors and scientific knowledge.

Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

Will Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?

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