Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 85.6%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado9 ago 26, 18:54 UTC1 ene 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsAt least 5 Millennium Prize problems solved by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if two distinct Millennium Prize Problems have solving dates no more than 365 days apart, and both solving dates occur before the market close.
- A problem's solving date is the earliest date on which a complete and correct solution was publicly available online.
- Correctness may be established retrospectively; subsequent recognition, peer review, or verification does not change the solving date.
- More clarifications:
- A claimed solution containing a substantive mathematical gap does not count.