Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 91.4%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado18 abr 26, 1:31 UTC21 ene 29, 0:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump make IVF free?
KalshiWill Trump make a serious attempt to remain in power after his term?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz is an American territory before start of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire any new territory?
KalshiWill China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExReglas
This will resolve YES if Cuba becomes an American territory, protectorate, state, or similar possession before the end of Trump’s term.
- Even if Trump doesn’t finish his term, the end date will not change and will resolve YES if Trump’s successor proceeds to make Cuba an American territory.
Mercados abiertos
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 291,3 mil €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump make Cuba an American Territory??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump make Cuba an American Territory??
- Está previsto que Will Trump make Cuba an American Territory? se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump make Cuba an American Territory??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This will resolve YES if Cuba becomes an American territory, protectorate, state, or similar possession before the end of Trump’s term.