Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 73.9%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
17 mar 26, 2:03 UTC20 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Criteria of resolution: This market resolves YES if US armed forces conduct a publicly acknowledged military operation involving kinetic force in Cuba’s sovereign territory, meaning Cuban land, territorial sea, or national airspace.
- For this market, “US armed forces” includes the Army, Marine Corps, Navy, Air Force, Space Force, and Coast Guard.
- Official U.S. sources describe territorial sea and the airspace above it as part of a state’s territory, and the standard breadth is up to 12 nautical miles.
- This market resolves NO otherwise.
- Sanctions, embargoes, cyber operations, espionage, covert actions not publicly acknowledged, or threats without actual use of force.
- Routine activity at Guantánamo Bay that does not involve kinetic force directed into Cuban sovereign territory.
