Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 97%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado28 feb 26, 20:16 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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will trump be assasinated in US?
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump is assassinated (killed by an intentional act of violence) at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution will be based on confirmation from major news outlets and official sources.
- The market resolves NO if Trump survives the entire year 2026 without being assassinated.
- Trump survived assassination attempts in Butler, Pennsylvania in July 2024 and West Palm Beach, Florida two months later, with the second attacker sentenced to life in prison.
- A deadly confrontation at Mar-a-Lago in February 2026 represents the latest in a string of high-profile security incidents, with former Secret Service officials noting Trump is "the most threatened president in the history of the U.S." Recent attacks have been characterized as "super low-tech," with lone actors posing particular challenges to presidential protection.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de will trump be assasinated in 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve will trump be assasinated in 2026?
- Está previsto que will trump be assasinated in 2026 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida will trump be assasinated in 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria