Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 7:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 85.5%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado5 sept 25, 21:57 UTC20 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people?
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if the Trump or Vance bans transgender people from buying guns before 2029.
- This could happen by signing a bill, or an ATF directive.
- Ban must target trans or lgbt people.
- A ban on everyone purchasing guns would not qualify.
- A ban that is preemptively struck down by the courts would resolve NO.
- If trans people can still buy guns by dressing differently resolves NO.