Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?
US PoliticsOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 84.4%
Pronosticadores
41
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado16 feb 25, 17:10 UTC21 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Background: some people have claimed that the Trump administration plans to refuse passports to trans people.
- The State Department has said they will « only issue passports with an M or F sex marker that match the customer's biological sex at birth. » Some trans people report delays of less than a month in passport processing.
- This question will resolve YES if credible reports emerge of at least 5 people being denied US passports because they are trans.
- The question will NOT resolve yes if:
- 1) Trans people are denied passports for reasons unrelated to being trans
- 2) Delays in passport processing occur
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 84% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration??
- Está previsto que Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration? se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Background: some people have claimed that the Trump administration plans to refuse passports to trans people.