Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 98.5%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado22 ene 26, 0:01 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PolymarketWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- A general election will be held in Spain no later than Sunday, 22 August 2027, to elect the members of the 16th Cortes Generales.
- This market resolves YES if a national general election to elect a new prime minister occurs at any point during 2026.
- It resolves NO if no such election takes place in 2026 (with the scheduled 2027 election occurring instead).
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Spanish government or the Spanish Electoral Commission (Junta Electoral Central).
- The election must be a general election for the Congress of Deputies and Senate, not regional elections.