Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 76.3%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado22 ene 26, 0:01 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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FutuurReglas
Resolution criteria
- A general election will be held in Spain no later than Sunday, 22 August 2027, to elect the members of the 16th Cortes Generales.
- This market resolves YES if a national general election to elect a new prime minister occurs at any point during 2026.
- It resolves NO if no such election takes place in 2026 (with the scheduled 2027 election occurring instead).
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Spanish government or the Spanish Electoral Commission (Junta Electoral Central).
- The election must be a general election for the Congress of Deputies and Senate, not regional elections.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 76% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister??
- Está previsto que Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria