Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 96.6%
Pronosticadores
39
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado19 may 26, 11:21 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
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KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
I expect this will be fairly easy to resolve in one way or the other, but for a case to count it must be caught on US soil.
- If we bring people into the country who are already sick, that doesn't count.
Mercados abiertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,4 mil €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volumen total
- 652,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,5 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,9 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 865,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,7 mil €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volumen total
- 915,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,4 mil €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volumen total
- 84 mil €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I expect this will be fairly easy to resolve in one way or the other, but for a case to count it must be caught on US soil.