Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 64%
Pronosticadores
97
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado17 ene 23, 7:10 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
Manifold MarketsWill there be another pandemic-related stay-at-home order in the US before EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketPandemic in 2026?
KalshiEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if the WHO declares a pandemic not related to Covid-19 on or by December 31, 2030.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- If the WHO declares a pandemic due to some variant of Covid-19, this will not count.
Mercados abiertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.3pt97%
- Yes-0.3pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,1 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt11%
- December 31, 2026-0.3pt3%
- Volumen total
- 19,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,7 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+7.0pt98%
- Above 6000+4.0pt62%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 904,2 mil €
POLYMARKETFDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- No-2.0pt95%
- Yes+2.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 513,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,1 mil €
KALSHIHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 8k+9.0pt97%
- Above 7k89%
- Above 9k81%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 14 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Nigeria+17.0pt20%
- Rwanda13%
- Republic of the Congo7%
+13 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,9 mil €
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
- New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 64% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030??
- Está previsto que Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the WHO declares a pandemic not related to Covid-19 on or by December 31, 2030.