Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 68.1%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado2 sept 22, 19:59 UTC1 ene 30, 8:00 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a global depression in the 2020s?
Manifold MarketsWill a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the World Health Organization declare another global pandemic before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
From Wikipedia:
- "A pandemic is an epidemic occurring on a scale that crosses international boundaries, usually affecting people on a worldwide scale."
- "An epidemic is the rapid spread of disease to a large number of patients among a given population within an area in a short period of time."
- Simply existing in many different countries isn't enough; there has to be large-scale spread in those countries.
- In addition, the disease must have a noticeable impact on normal human life.
- It will not count if a new pathogen emerges and spreads virulently across the globe, but is completely harmless and there are no significant efforts to prevent its spread.
Mercados abiertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,6 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volumen total
- 83,5 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 864,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volumen total
- 915,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 mil €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volumen total
- 4,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be another global pandemic before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be another global pandemic before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will there be another global pandemic before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be another global pandemic before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: From Wikipedia: