Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 53.3%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 57 minutos
Retrasado10 mar 24, 18:16 UTC1 ene 33, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
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FutuurReglas
From @NevinWetherill
- I think a good rule-of-thumb for existing-patient cures would be "a treatment such that those who undergo the treatment at any point after being diagnosed with type 1 do not have a life noticably inconvenienced by any effects of their condition after the treatment."
- Insulin pumps will not count
Mercados abiertos
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 28,1 mil €
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volumen total
- 15,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 21,5 mil €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.5pt93.1%
- Yes+0.5pt6.9%
- Volumen total
- 944,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,2 mil €
KALSHIWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Kenya14%
- India6%
- Ethiopia-2.0pt5%
+13 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 600061%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 882,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 mil €
KALSHIWill 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- On Nov 13, 202696%
- On Mar 13, 202789%
- On Nov 19, 202786%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 16,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 53% a fecha de 15 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032??
- Está previsto que Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2033.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be an FDA approved cure for Type 1 Diabetes by EOY 2032??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: From @NevinWetherill