Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?
One-OffIATecnología2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 78.4%
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado23 may 24, 13:18 UTC31 may 29, 3:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872.
- "Will "AI safety" be considered a coherent movement with leaders and an agenda vs a descriptor for some cluster of skills/techniques that some within AI-focused companies are familiar with?"
- Resolves YES if there is indeed a coherent movement with the agenda of AI Notkilleveryoneism.
- It must have at least one identifiable leader figure, and an agenda.
- It need not still have the name "AI Safety" but it must remain relevant.
- Resolves NO if this is no longer the case, meaning that when people think of how we prevent AI from killing everyone, they think about technical techniques within AI companies, or similar.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 78% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029??
- Está previsto que Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029? se resuelva el 31 de mayo de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872.