¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Wild Boar (Sus scrofa) become extinct in the current century??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97.9% a fecha de 23 de octubre de 2026.

Will the Wild Boar (Sus scrofa) become extinct in the current century?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados

Datos del 23 oct 2026, 23:42 UTC · política pm-quality-4

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 97.9%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 horas

Desactualizado

20 mar 24, 7:52 UTC31 dic 99, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

The Wild Boar, a.k.a. common wild pig, is a mammal native to Eurasia and Northern Africa.

It is the ancestor of the domestic pig and has been introduced to the Americas and Oceania by humans.
This market will resolve YES if the Wild Boar is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wild_boar
IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Least Concern
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/41775/44141833