Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 54.4%
Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado14 jul 23, 20:55 UTC31 dic 29, 16:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
They don't have to actually declassify *everything* to resolve YES.
- It's enough that they make some substantial declassifications and do it in a way that seems intended to give the impression that they are "declassifying everything".
- Redactions are fine, national security exceptions are fine, this is ultimately more about political perception than reality.
- If a presidential candidate pledges to declassify everything and then on winning election does some significant declassifications in a way that seems intended to fulfill that campaign promise that would presumptively resolve YES.
- In case of ambiguity I may resolve to market IF I think the market price seems reasonable and not an artifact of manipulation or poor liquidity.
- Otherwise I will just make my own best judgement.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 54% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030?
- Está previsto que Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: They don't have to actually declassify *everything* to resolve YES.