Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027?
Eventos corporativosIAOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 84.9%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 26, 18:53 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be collaborating with Anthropic by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill the US government take control of Anthropic or its major technologies before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
KalshiUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, the United States government (including federal agencies) takes functional control of Anthropic PBC or its successor entities.
- Functional control is defined as the government assuming direct management, operational control, or the power to override the board of directors and executive leadership regarding core business decisions, development, or deployment of AI models.
- This includes, but is not limited to:
- An official government takeover, nationalization, or eminent domain acquisition of the company.
- A court-ordered receivership or government-mandated management replacement resulting in direct federal control.