Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027?
Corporate ActionsIAOne-OffUS Politics1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 84.9%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 26, 18:53 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be collaborating with Anthropic by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Amanda Askell still be a power at Anthropic, EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiAnother US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, the United States government (including federal agencies) takes functional control of Anthropic PBC or its successor entities.
- Functional control is defined as the government assuming direct management, operational control, or the power to override the board of directors and executive leadership regarding core business decisions, development, or deployment of AI models.
- This includes, but is not limited to:
- An official government takeover, nationalization, or eminent domain acquisition of the company.
- A court-ordered receivership or government-mandated management replacement resulting in direct federal control.
Mercados abiertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 85,3 mil €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 184,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Volumen total
- 21,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 20,3 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 resultados más
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027??
- Está previsto que Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria