Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Eventos corporativosTecnologíaOne-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.Geopolítica2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 5:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 99%
Pronosticadores
40
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado8 ene 26, 2:08 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States acquires sovereignty over Greenland by December 31, 2026.
- Acquisition would require either: (1) a formal transfer of sovereignty from Denmark to the United States through a treaty or purchase agreement ratified by the U.S. Senate or Danish Parliament, or (2) effective U.S. military control over some or all of the territory.
- The market resolves NO if no such transfer occurs by the deadline.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. State Department or other U.S. government agencies.
- Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Effective military control is defined as: The US government making an official statement that they have control over Greenland via the US Military.
