Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónMiddle East3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 69.1%
Pronosticadores
79
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado21 abr 23, 13:37 UTC31 dic 29, 22:00 UTC
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KalshiReglas
The last election was in 2005.
- Future elections have been "postponed indefinitely" by current president Mahmoud Abbas.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Palestinian_presidential_election
- Must be recognized internationally as a valid and fair election for the leadership of the State of Palestine (particularly by the UN and leaders of western nations).
- Doesn't necessarily need to be called a "presidential election".
- Disqualifying some potential candidates (Like Hamas) is ok.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 69% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030??
- Está previsto que Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The last election was in 2005.