Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 63%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado30 jul 25, 22:02 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
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Palestine has not held a presidential election since 2005, and not held a parliamentary election since 2006 (Wikipedia).
- Although there have been local elections, at the national level, Palestine has not held an election in 20 years.
- This question resolves YES if Palestine holds an election recognizably national in character.
- A presidential election would count, a parliamentary election would count, but local elections would not count.
- A presidential or parliamentary election for a large fraction but not all of Palestine (e.g. just the West Bank) would count, if it purports and is widely understood to be a national election for Palestine.
- The election needs merely to have substantively happened, regardless of its quality or results.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Palestine hold a national election before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 63% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Palestine hold a national election before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Palestine hold a national election before 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Palestine hold a national election before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Palestine has not held a presidential election since 2005, and not held a parliamentary election since 2006 (Wikipedia).