Will the next Japanese national election have a voter turnout above 60%?次の日本の国政選挙の投票率は60%を超えるか？
PolíticaCustomPolítica de EE. UU.Elección1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 54%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado30 may 26, 7:14 UTC31 jul 28, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Japan's national elections haven't crossed 60% turnout in a long time.
- The most recent results: the Feb 2026 House of Representatives election came in around 55.68%, and the Jul 2025 House of Councillors election was 58.51%.
- For the lower house, the last time turnout exceeded 60% was the 2009 general election — every election since has stayed in the 50s.
- 日本の国政選挙は長らく投票率60%を超えていません。直近では、2026年2月の衆院選が約55.68%、2025年7月の参院選が58.51%。衆院選に限れば、最後に60%を超えたのは2009年で、それ以降はすべて50%台です。
- This market asks whether the next national election will break that wall.