Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028?
PolíticaIAOne-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 80%
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Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado28 feb 26, 16:56 UTC31 dic 28, 16:48 UTC
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Examples of what I would consider meaningful negative impacts:
- A significant drop in userbase or subscribers that seems to be connected
- Impactful hostile government action targeting OpenAI or Sam Altman by e.g. a Democratic controlled congress
- Retribution from the Trump administration because OpenAI reneged on the deal
- This may resolve YES early if something significant and unambiguously negative happens.
- If it is ambiguous, I will not resolve hastily and may extend the resolution deadline until I am convinced one way or the other.